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The Probability of the Resurrection of Jesus
Published date: Thursday, June 30, 2005
By: Richard Swinburne

Download a summary of the paper given by Richard Swinburne on the probability that God raised Jesus from the dead.

Notes to accompany lecture

A historical hypothesis H is probable in so far as it is intrinsically a simple hypothesis and,

(1) the general background evidence K makes it probable that H will hold under certain conditions (the prior requirements) and not otherwise,

(2) the historical evidence E1 (the prior historical evidence) is such as would probably occur if these conditions are satisfied and not otherwise, and

(3) the historical evidence E2 (the posterior historical evidence) is such as would probably occur if H is true and not otherwise.

The stronger are (1) and (2) the less we need (3) for H to be probable overall.

(See PDF for complete article.)

Files: swinburne-resurrection-jesus.pdf

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